oldcai
0xe76bf07ace13117de33a1433dcddd16b5053ad7f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $65.7k
- Markets traded
- 745
- Open portfolio
- $323.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded745
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October? · No | 0.490 | 0.505 | $61.96 | +$1.84 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.829 | 0.865 | $50.14 | +$2.08 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in October? · No | 0.790 | 0.780 | $42.95 | −$0.55 |
| Will Solana reach $150 in October? · No | 0.870 | 0.860 | $37.99 | −$0.44 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.710 | 0.695 | $36.51 | −$0.79 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October? · No | 0.770 | 0.835 | $31.89 | +$2.48 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 5? · No | 0.910 | 0.967 | $27.87 | +$1.64 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.930 | 0.925 | $26.79 | −$0.14 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.930 | 0.955 | $4.78 | +$0.13 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11? · No | 0.480 | 0.430 | $2.15 | −$0.25 |
| Solana Up or Down on September 19? · Down | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.99at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 11?
- +$95.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?
- +$86.61at 0.473Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 4?
- +$78.39at 0.509Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5?
- +$63.48at 0.772Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:30 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-05 09:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.71 | $37.30 |
| 10-05 06:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.8291374849 | $48.07 |
| 10-05 05:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-05 05:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.93 | $26.93 |
| 10-05 05:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $26.23 |
| 10-05 04:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October? | BUY | 0.49 | $60.12 |
| 10-05 04:03 | Will Solana dip to $100 in October? | BUY | 0.79 | $43.50 |
| 10-04 20:43 | Will Solana reach $150 in October? | BUY | 0.87 | $38.43 |
| 10-03 22:32 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October? | BUY | 0.77 | $29.41 |
| 10-02 03:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 2? | BUY | 0.89 | $22.97 |
| 09-30 17:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.89 | $40.05 |
| 09-30 14:14 | XRP Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-30 12:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $32.66 |
| 09-30 08:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.73 | $41.54 |