underxolo
0xe7652655ae81c9975c864a4364077410b844447a
- Realised P&L
- $-123.48
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 455
- Open portfolio
- $22.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded455
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.700 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.50 |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) · Eagles | 0.500 | 0.485 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 29? · No | 0.890 | 0.945 | $4.72 | +$0.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.535 | $2.67 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.530 | $2.65 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.495 | $2.48 | −$0.63 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28? · No | 0.790 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28? · No | 0.720 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.94at 0.522Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D
- +$7.01at 0.532Spread: BAL (-8.5)
- +$5.93at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$5.25at 0.160Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
- +$5.19at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-28 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-28 18:10 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-28 18:10 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-28 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 09-28 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-28 09:28 | Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 50 kt or more? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-28 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-28 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 09-27 23:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-27 21:35 | Rams vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-27 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-27 20:41 | Spread: Panthers (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 20:11 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |