0xe764da0a00d11e8ed37b14801e18fb2179ab071e
- Realised P&L
- $111.03
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $39.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Moore: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.360 | 0.315 | $25.38 | −$3.62 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ Touchdowns · Yes | 0.340 | 0.170 | $14.00 | −$14.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.19at 0.188Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
- +$66.56at 0.2811st Half Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
- +$57.57at 0.368Justin Jefferson: Anytime Touchdown
- +$44.31at 0.366Rodrigo Muniz: Anytime Goalscorer
- +$24.40at 0.034Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:59 | Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $28.00 |
| 09-17 08:49 | DJ Moore: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.359999998 | $29.00 |
| 09-16 23:44 | Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 22:05 | Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4299999922 | $16.00 |
| 09-16 05:50 | 1st Half Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2699999988 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 05:39 | Rodrigo Muniz: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.3528457864 | $24.66 |
| 09-14 20:45 | Broncos 1H Team Total: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.5599999932 | $26.28 |
| 09-14 06:36 | Marvin Mims Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.129999999 | $16.00 |
| 09-14 06:35 | Bo Nix: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | BUY | 0.4140845047 | $21.00 |
| 09-13 18:54 | Justin Jefferson: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.3545088451 | $32.28 |
| 09-13 18:53 | DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | BUY | 0.4521912029 | $34.60 |
| 09-13 18:26 | Commanders 1H Team Total: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.5199999992 | $27.00 |
| 09-13 18:16 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.0475743884 | $100.32 |
| 08-15 08:08 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0369999973 | $12.61 |
| 08-13 20:30 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0339999964 | $8.93 |