rubdyduby
0xe75235a27e0dd679e403ed01801b79aa68884f24
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $434.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $363.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.019 | $363.90 | −$439.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Up | 0.337 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$239.49 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up | 0.331 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$255.77 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$269.55at 0.403Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$137.84at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$125.89at 0.585Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$-198.44at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$-2.2kat 0.012Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 17:39 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0299108557 | $100.00 |
| 06-12 18:30 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.239999998 | $80.00 |
| 06-11 15:55 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-10 14:09 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2299999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-09 11:26 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0318693757 | $100.00 |
| 05-28 15:09 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.054382628 | $100.00 |
| 05-20 19:21 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0495723264 | $100.00 |
| 05-20 19:19 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.0460098564 | $91.77 |
| 05-20 19:18 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0501340787 | $100.00 |
| 05-16 06:40 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0478393271 | $100.00 |
| 05-13 12:04 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0494394495 | $100.00 |
| 05-11 19:12 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0474924364 | $200.00 |
| 02-16 10:58 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0547887535 | $200.00 |
| 02-12 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1288968263 | $99.37 |
| 02-12 16:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $162.74 |