0xe74c6548e498ee12ba16d59feaaf63e18f1e7019
- Realised P&L
- $17.56
- Volume
- $277.35
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $22.68
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.875 | $7.81 | +$2.81 |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.425 | $4.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.230 | $4.42 | −$0.58 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.680 | $4.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.115 | $1.31 | −$3.69 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.330 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.45at 0.240Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?
- +$8.16at 0.380Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?
- +$6.22at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?
- +$4.76at 0.321Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
- +$3.23at 0.612Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:54 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 10:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 02:38 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 13:56 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 22:33 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 21:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 13:33 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 04:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 04:39 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 18:46 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.78 |
| 09-08 17:25 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 09:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 01:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 15:59 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.74 |
| 09-01 04:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |