Giant789
0xe7493b35e920642ff5ab2869de3de0d44d2812bf
- Realised P&L
- $0.68
- Volume
- $140.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $3.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? · No | 0.995 | 0.975 | $3.05 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.968Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?
- +$0.13at 0.970Will Binance delist Pnut by Friday?
- +$0.11at 0.965Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?
- +$0.11at 0.966Megaquake in February?
- +$0.09at 0.970Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 02:54 | Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? | BUY | 0.9946162211 | $3.11 |
| 09-13 02:54 | Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | SELL | 0.951 | $2.81 |
| 08-05 05:03 | Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | BUY | 0.9422994826 | $2.79 |
| 07-26 09:09 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.9649997479 | $3.10 |
| 07-26 09:08 | Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $1.87 |
| 06-04 03:23 | Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.9549999792 | $1.84 |
| 06-04 03:23 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $3.00 |
| 05-11 13:06 | Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $3.00 |
| 04-07 04:33 | Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9869998399 | $3.04 |
| 04-07 04:32 | Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.05 |
| 03-23 02:58 | Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.9699999967 | $2.96 |
| 03-23 02:58 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | SELL | 0.977 | $2.96 |
| 03-19 15:03 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BUY | 0.971999797 | $2.95 |
| 03-19 15:03 | Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | SELL | 0.892 | $2.95 |
| 01-04 08:34 | Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | BUY | 0.9939998518 | $3.30 |