jakebet
0xe744913c0033c55203ce64dbd960fe816b70f96e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $2.27M
- Markets traded
- 676
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded676
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.772Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$893.99at 0.946Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?
- +$798.21at 0.952Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?
- +$754.09at 0.813Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?
- +$751.92at 0.967Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.3k |
| 09-30 17:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $591.92 |
| 09-30 17:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $565.06 |
| 09-30 17:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.993 | $315.77 |
| 09-29 16:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $608.67 |
| 09-29 16:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 09-29 16:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $517.44 |
| 09-29 16:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $60.38 |
| 09-29 16:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $335.97 |
| 09-29 16:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 09-28 17:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.4k |
| 09-28 17:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $190.67 |
| 09-28 15:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.992 | $277.76 |
| 09-27 19:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.994 | $250.39 |
| 09-27 17:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $997.00 |