rubbed2026
0xe741fbc14df4fa69dc5cdcff858a5b4de380ae12
- Realised P&L
- $39.81
- Volume
- $31.5k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $5.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta (META) Up or Down on October 1? · Up | 0.500 | 0.530 | $5.22 | +$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$435.86at 0.074Meta (META) Up or Down on June 9?
- +$157.81at 0.084Meta (META) Up or Down on April 6?
- +$50.30at 0.236Meta (META) Up or Down on July 20?
- +$35.99at 0.228Meta (META) Up or Down on August 4?
- +$35.70at 0.218Meta (META) Up or Down on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:46 | Meta (META) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 09-30 19:41 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.072 | $2.58 |
| 09-30 19:40 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.26 |
| 09-30 11:46 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.33 |
| 09-30 11:46 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.6 | $7.54 |
| 09-30 10:10 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.56 | $7.54 |
| 09-30 09:57 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.45 | $7.52 |
| 09-29 23:36 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-28 20:40 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.57 |
| 09-28 13:35 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 28? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.12 |
| 09-28 13:33 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 28? | SELL | 0.056 | $1.21 |
| 09-28 13:06 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 28? | SELL | 0.262 | $5.24 |
| 09-28 08:11 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.48 |
| 09-28 08:00 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 28? | SELL | 0.91 | $7.91 |
| 09-25 20:40 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.96 |