rubbed2026
0xe741fbc14df4fa69dc5cdcff858a5b4de380ae12
- Realised P&L
- $196.34
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $10.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta (META) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.369 | 0.175 | $11.65 | −$12.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$436.03at 0.074Meta (META) Up or Down on June 9?
- +$159.22at 0.084Meta (META) Up or Down on April 6?
- +$50.54at 0.233Meta (META) Up or Down on July 20?
- +$36.44at 0.227Meta (META) Up or Down on August 4?
- +$36.00at 0.213Meta (META) Up or Down on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:30 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.57 | $10.96 |
| 08-05 15:30 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.58 | $11.15 |
| 08-05 10:55 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.37 |
| 08-04 19:40 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.69 | $9.49 |
| 08-04 19:29 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.59 | $7.75 |
| 08-04 08:14 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.53 |
| 08-03 18:02 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 17:58 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 08:03 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.00 |
| 07-31 21:13 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 19:36 | Meta (META) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-31 19:36 | Meta (META) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 07-30 23:29 | Meta (META) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $9.92 |
| 07-29 22:37 | Meta (META) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.17 |
| 07-29 18:26 | Meta (META) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.86 |