Htown1738
0xe73bbaf4ded6b66bf21d9a3a520c47356cafb1e9
- Realised P&L
- $-255.04
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $4.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.065 | $4.89 | −$1.88 |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.99 |
| Rams vs. Bears · Bears | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.06 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.46 |
| Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Super Bowl? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.12 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.34at 0.344Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$20.98at 0.160Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$18.53at 0.303Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
- +$13.66at 0.536Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$10.49at 0.238Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 04:23 | Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999991 | $6.77 |
| 04-07 19:31 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $17.09 |
| 04-07 19:26 | Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | SELL | 0.0666532482 | $9.60 |
| 04-01 06:24 | Will Ryan Gosling be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | SELL | 0.0376874804 | $2.40 |
| 04-01 06:24 | Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | SELL | 0.2249738439 | $10.75 |
| 03-21 16:09 | Will Ryan Gosling be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | BUY | 0.1424411479 | $9.08 |
| 03-17 20:49 | Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | BUY | 0.3077945834 | $14.71 |
| 03-17 01:14 | Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | BUY | 0.2044669008 | $29.46 |
| 03-16 03:17 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.46 |
| 03-12 23:49 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5359999962 | $15.81 |
| 03-05 03:12 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $9.86 |
| 02-24 22:58 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999884 | $10.89 |
| 01-18 18:51 | Rams vs. Bears | BUY | 0.3599999837 | $7.07 |
| 01-18 18:25 | Will the Chicago Bears win the Super Bowl? | SELL | 0.0428470057 | $5.22 |
| 01-18 08:42 | Will the Chicago Bears win the Super Bowl? | BUY | 0.2029999647 | $4.00 |