sarutobekingcabac
0xe73000ea33028d8d3d1ff3c11997e81b150de424
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $358.9k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $106.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.764 | 0.938 | $93.75 | +$17.35 |
| StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.265 | $6.57 | −$3.43 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.064 | $6.35 | +$0.05 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$15.85 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.643 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$321.50 |
| Pharos FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.41 |
| Pharos FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.43 |
| Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.86 |
| Pharos FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.488Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$1.2kat 0.204Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$1.2kat 0.197Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$1.0kat 0.434Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$901.35at 0.172Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 14:17 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.045 | $28.85 |
| 06-21 14:17 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.054 | $45.49 |
| 06-21 14:17 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.154 | $171.11 |
| 06-21 14:17 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.154 | $71.96 |
| 06-02 02:48 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.764 | $76.40 |
| 06-02 02:48 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.159 | $15.90 |
| 06-02 02:48 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.063 | $6.30 |
| 06-02 02:46 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.358 | $179.00 |
| 06-02 02:46 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.643 | $321.50 |
| 05-20 14:34 | Over $250M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.997 | $27.79 |
| 05-04 03:13 | Over $250M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.991999999 | $350.00 |
| 05-04 03:11 | Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $56.00 |
| 05-04 03:10 | Over $200M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $50.00 |
| 05-04 03:10 | Over $250M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.991999996 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 10:44 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9855175867 | $280.00 |