PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1802

0xe723349860ece5e2692be442881481e0c15c831c

Realised P&L
$-972.37
Volume
$307.4k
Markets traded
621
Open portfolio
$81.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded621
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 12? · No0.9701.000$40.04+$1.18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? · Yes0.9871.000$26.00+$0.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A · Team Falcons0.7900.765$15.37−$0.50
Porto 2: Inaki Montes vs Jacob Fearnley · Jacob Fearnley0.7500.000$0.00−$37.97
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 21? · No0.9770.000$0.00−$135.90
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner · Iron Wing0.5700.000$0.00−$11.64
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$17.10
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner · Team Spirit0.2100.000$0.00−$4.37
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner · Team Spirit0.4800.000$0.00−$14.76
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner · Team Yandex0.9500.000$0.00−$323.81
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner · LGD Gaming0.8700.000$0.00−$43.77
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 3? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$3.67
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs · PARIVISION0.8790.000$0.00−$70.46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 14? · Yes0.7510.000$0.00−$38.66
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$34.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 12:16Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group ABUY0.79$7.26
10-12 10:16Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor SvrcinaBUY0.981$196.39
10-12 08:23Wuhan Tennis Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Magdalena FrechSELL0.999$99.91
10-12 07:47Wuhan Tennis Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Magdalena FrechBUY0.996$49.81
10-12 06:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?BUY0.987$25.67
10-12 05:58Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-AliassimeSELL0.94$94.80
10-12 05:40Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-AliassimeBUY0.73$37.00
10-12 05:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 12?BUY0.97$38.86
10-12 05:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 12?BUY0.988$59.33
10-12 05:04Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-AliassimeBUY0.92$46.16
10-11 19:49Bengals vs. DolphinsBUY0.991$49.56
10-11 19:08Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.48$14.76
10-11 17:56Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.97$58.29
10-11 15:44Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.75$37.97
10-11 14:34Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.78$47.29