0xe71550ccedC04aE3eA4A9e146027b77DFE5B50D8-1790508552973
0xe71550ccedc04ae3ea4a9e146027b77dfe5b50d8
- Realised P&L
- $-22.23
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $14.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.83at 0.377Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 6?
- +$8.22at 0.622Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 9?
- +$2.81at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5?
- +$2.60at 0.661Sharks vs. Stars
- +$2.28at 0.689Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.50 |
| 10-09 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.459999979 | $7.00 |
| 10-09 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4756756757 | $5.50 |
| 10-09 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.9969237791 | $21.84 |
| 10-09 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.998 | $12.02 |
| 10-09 09:10 | Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.22 |
| 10-09 09:07 | Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.0116871063 | $0.28 |
| 10-09 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.0419999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.26 |
| 10-09 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1549999977 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.6099999941 | $13.37 |
| 10-08 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.36 |