0xE71284a37c228ab622a3022bD74542CFC489418B-1770352460499
0xe71284a37c228ab622a3022bd74542cfc489418b
- Realised P&L
- $-136.56
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,041
- Open portfolio
- $50.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,041
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.987 | $7.16 | +$2.15 |
| Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m? · No | 0.690 | 0.925 | $6.70 | +$1.70 |
| Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.915 | $6.62 | +$1.63 |
| Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend? · No | 0.781 | 1.000 | $6.40 | +$1.40 |
| Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.995 | $6.37 | +$1.37 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins · LG Twins | 0.740 | 0.910 | $6.10 | +$1.14 |
| Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m? · No | 0.740 | 0.670 | $4.52 | −$0.47 |
| Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m? · Yes | 0.728 | 0.655 | $4.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k? · No | 0.770 | 0.991 | $1.95 | +$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.01at 0.360Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on April 2?
- +$6.82at 0.420Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
- +$6.04at 0.450El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 2.5
- +$5.47at 0.480Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs alohasquad - Game 1 Winner
- +$5.47at 0.480Solana Up or Down - April 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 19:49 | Call of Duty: Team Falcons vs Gentle Mates (BO7) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.56 | $3.63 |
| 07-10 03:29 | Solana Up or Down - July 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $2.75 |
| 06-29 14:54 | Solana Up or Down - June 29, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $3.99 |
| 05-27 23:30 | Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 05-21 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.82 |
| 05-01 21:38 | Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers | BUY | 0.76 | $4.99 |
| 04-30 14:14 | Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $2.06 |
| 04-26 21:55 | Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $1.72 |
| 04-24 12:58 | Solana Up or Down - April 24, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.6202235469 | $3.93 |
| 04-18 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on April 18? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.49 |
| 04-11 20:34 | Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season | BUY | 0.67 | $4.59 |
| 04-11 09:04 | Dota 2: WinteR SquadronS vs Satan666 (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage | BUY | 0.67 | $4.29 |
| 04-09 19:11 | Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.65 | $4.48 |
| 04-08 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.20 |
| 04-08 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.08 |