alexbita
0xe7123a5454f9be0a197d5909d2720a4d473c9a10
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $320.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,876
- Open portfolio
- $210.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,876
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$385.65at 0.243Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
- +$225.76at 0.102Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 11?
- +$210.96at 0.721Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on September 8?
- +$196.86at 0.318Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?
- +$195.71at 0.131Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:46 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5523242043 | $44.77 |
| 09-28 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.11 |
| 09-28 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-28 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8658343057 | $44.52 |
| 09-28 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.640438247 | $6.43 |
| 09-28 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.5494415069 | $33.25 |
| 09-28 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.7716006441 | $47.92 |
| 09-28 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.86 |
| 09-28 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.60 |
| 09-28 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.2531818182 | $4.12 |
| 09-28 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.38 | $12.27 |
| 09-28 12:08 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.21 | $7.26 |
| 09-28 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.12 |
| 09-28 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.44 |