bookish.sally87
0xe71161ea5a20b7473513d82398be35efcefb8fac
- Realised P&L
- $2.61
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $299.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.952 | 0.954 | $48.29 | +$0.08 |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.982 | 0.976 | $48.00 | −$0.32 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.957 | 0.945 | $47.96 | −$0.63 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $46.66 | −$0.25 |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · No | 0.948 | 0.910 | $45.71 | −$1.88 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.975 | $39.15 | −$0.02 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $24.14 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.59at 0.958Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$1.07at 0.930Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
- +$0.62at 0.975US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.939Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.54at 0.975Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 08:04 | Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9749999711 | $21.07 |