fgid
0xe706a1296927811abfd16665a8f17c9ea679036d
- Realised P&L
- $11.73
- Volume
- $26.8k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $36.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27? · No | 0.991 | 0.990 | $36.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.94at 0.972Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27?
- +$0.73at 0.978Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 11?
- +$0.69at 0.979Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?
- +$0.64at 0.982Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 23?
- +$0.63at 0.981Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 01:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27? | BUY | 0.991 | $37.00 |
| 09-28 00:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.997 | $37.83 |
| 09-25 15:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.9949999869 | $36.00 |
| 09-24 15:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.9909999859 | $36.00 |
| 09-23 14:30 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 23? | BUY | 0.981 | $35.32 |
| 09-15 14:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 15? | BUY | 0.983 | $34.41 |
| 09-13 04:18 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.991 | $33.69 |
| 09-11 15:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 11? | BUY | 0.99 | $26.73 |
| 09-11 01:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.87 |
| 09-10 15:56 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.69 |
| 09-09 03:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.986 | $32.54 |
| 09-08 13:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.993 | $14.18 |
| 09-07 13:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 7? | BUY | 0.994 | $31.81 |
| 09-06 14:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.977 | $31.26 |
| 09-02 13:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 2? | BUY | 0.984 | $30.49 |