0xe704eceed966703479e6d8911fe837d0a761f80e
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $8.12
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.785 | $3.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.435 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03? · No | 0.650 | 0.645 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.590 | 0.585 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.670 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.27at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$3.29at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
- +$2.72at 0.651Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.51at 0.447Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?
- +$2.44at 0.805Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 15:43 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 15:42 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 15:36 | Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 15:35 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 15:35 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:09 | Will New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.17 |
| 11-02 02:05 | Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:05 | Will New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $0.09 |
| 11-01 15:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:13 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 14:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |