justdance26
0xe702a62a1c046b0cfc51bd1146ba284fb42198bd
- Realised P&L
- $-77.49
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $116.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.91at 0.588Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$15.13at 0.503Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$14.52at 0.264Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$13.85at 0.720Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
- +$11.99at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:59 | Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2899999557 | $1.44 |
| 10-16 18:56 | Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.28 | $53.73 |
| 10-16 18:55 | Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.3005800033 | $90.64 |
| 10-16 12:21 | Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%? | BUY | 0.3379073834 | $27.92 |
| 10-16 12:20 | Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%? | BUY | 0.2286686664 | $19.82 |
| 10-16 12:19 | Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.31 | $50.33 |
| 10-08 19:07 | Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2737109132 | $39.00 |
| 10-08 19:05 | Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.1407419398 | $41.73 |
| 10-06 15:47 | Will US win 50-55% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2059230206 | $61.06 |
| 10-06 15:47 | Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2488800398 | $80.00 |
| 10-06 15:45 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.5916788409 | $147.42 |
| 10-06 15:20 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6278047094 | $156.43 |
| 10-06 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |