TheNobleSavage
0xe6f31fc5c16674526fdf18b5146d8d597b102568
- Realised P&L
- $-8.7k
- Volume
- $1.32M
- Markets traded
- 699
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded699
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.608LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
- +$1.1kat 0.657Celtics vs. Heat
- +$996.28at 0.765Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi
- +$989.48at 0.241Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$921.98at 0.704Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 19:54 | Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-16 19:36 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.36 | $95.10 |
| 10-16 19:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $429.26 |
| 10-16 19:09 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.58 |
| 10-16 18:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6574803223 | $310.90 |
| 10-16 18:52 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.7482856268 | $97.77 |
| 10-16 18:50 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 10-16 18:21 | Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 10-16 18:21 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 10-16 18:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.79 |
| 10-16 17:09 | Will Trump say "University" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.00 |
| 10-16 17:08 | Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.5120303951 | $51.00 |
| 10-16 17:08 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.8775557579 | $96.40 |
| 10-16 17:06 | Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 17:00 | Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.4301075269 | $160.00 |