0xE6f199046B0955634Cd2205ee642A600cb81223A-1772758661503
0xe6f199046b0955634cd2205ee642a600cb81223a
- Realised P&L
- $-30.40
- Volume
- $23.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $1.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.895 | $1.42 | +$0.07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3AM ET · Up | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.49at 0.865Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$0.32at 0.910Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.920Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
- +$0.13at 0.903Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?
- +$0.08at 0.962Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 04:41 | Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999685 | $1.35 |
| 08-04 00:00 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.22 |
| 07-11 00:19 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.10 |
| 06-04 00:23 | Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.9989991141 | $1.06 |
| 06-04 00:23 | Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.11 |
| 06-04 00:23 | Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.36 |
| 05-05 23:54 | WTT - Men's Singles: Nicholas Lum vs Chuqin Wang | BUY | 0.94 | $1.10 |
| 05-05 23:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.10 |
| 05-05 23:52 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $3.10 |
| 04-06 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on April 7? | BUY | 0.9980349418 | $1.20 |
| 04-06 00:32 | Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.10 |
| 04-06 00:32 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.9099998237 | $3.20 |
| 03-22 12:07 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | BUY | 0.919999816 | $2.40 |
| 03-21 23:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | SELL | 0.997 | $9.4k |
| 03-21 14:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.5k |