PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xE6f199046B0955634Cd2205ee642A600cb81223A-1772758661503

0xe6f199046b0955634cd2205ee642a600cb81223a

Realised P&L
$-30.40
Volume
$23.0k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$1.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.8500.895$1.42+$0.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3AM ET · Up0.0050.000$0.00$21.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 04:41Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?BUY0.8499999685$1.35
08-04 00:00Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9$1.22
07-11 00:19Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.998$2.10
06-04 00:23Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?BUY0.9989991141$1.06
06-04 00:23Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.991$1.11
06-04 00:23Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.998$2.36
05-05 23:54WTT - Men's Singles: Nicholas Lum vs Chuqin WangBUY0.94$1.10
05-05 23:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.96$2.10
05-05 23:52Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.86$3.10
04-06 00:33Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on April 7?BUY0.9980349418$1.20
04-06 00:32Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?BUY0.997$2.10
04-06 00:32Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.9099998237$3.20
03-22 12:07Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?BUY0.919999816$2.40
03-21 23:52Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?SELL0.997$9.4k
03-21 14:47Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?BUY0.998$9.5k