fgjw
0xe6ecbc0e88c1079d3352f9d40d05b2e7692cfd23
- Realised P&L
- $4.72
- Volume
- $40.8k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $35.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 5-11? · No | 0.981 | 0.984 | $35.41 | +$0.09 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.27at 0.953Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$1.26at 0.637Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.92at 0.972Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?
- +$0.60at 0.979Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 17-23?
- +$0.56at 0.978Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 7-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 08:24 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.981 | $35.32 |
| 10-08 08:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.983 | $34.41 |
| 10-08 02:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $34.00 |
| 10-04 15:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $33.56 |
| 10-02 15:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $33.00 |
| 10-01 15:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9699999994 | $32.00 |
| 09-30 15:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9906102531 | $32.00 |
| 09-28 03:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9929999708 | $32.00 |
| 09-27 14:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9951656106 | $32.00 |
| 09-23 15:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 23? | BUY | 0.9904661929 | $31.00 |
| 09-22 15:46 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on September 22? | BUY | 0.986 | $30.57 |
| 09-18 16:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.987 | $30.60 |
| 09-13 01:11 | Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-13 01:09 | Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 09-11 12:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.94 | $30.08 |