gowens
0xe6e7420dcd8ba64a04eda212de06ce90e30fa527
- Realised P&L
- $-26.26
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $17.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.535 | $17.12 | +$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.05at 0.590Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
- +$0.60at 0.969Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
- +$0.16at 0.962Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$0.11at 0.987Will Solana hit $210 in March?
- +$0.10at 0.995Will Solana reach $250 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.07 |
| 01-31 13:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | BUY | 0.9806091553 | $19.17 |
| 01-30 15:28 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.33 |
| 01-30 14:27 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.14 |
| 01-30 14:07 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.57 |
| 01-30 12:49 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.77 |
| 12-30 12:12 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.07 |
| 12-30 11:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.67 |
| 12-30 10:56 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.997999941 | $5.41 |
| 12-30 08:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.17 |
| 12-29 23:23 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.39 |
| 12-29 23:12 | Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.27 |
| 12-29 20:38 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999995 | $47.93 |
| 10-31 15:42 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9983241294 | $29.07 |
| 10-31 15:05 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.05 |