PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Naughtyfrog

0xe6e5663376d228881528604f0331fe4ea9c3ba97

Realised P&L
$-194.50
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$23.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes0.0980.046$23.49$26.51
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? · No0.1400.000$0.00$3.80
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · No0.0410.000$0.00$1.14
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale? · No0.6310.000$0.00$5.94
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3710.000$0.00$150.59
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-09 23:04Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?BUY0.025$3.00
06-08 19:06Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?BUY0.0979089585$50.00
06-04 08:13Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.66$95.97
06-02 13:53Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6799999942$98.88
01-05 19:27Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?BUY0.1399999691$3.80
01-05 19:26Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?SELL0.036975039$3.79
01-05 18:54Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?BUY0.6315483828$5.94
01-05 18:52Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?BUY0.0389999908$4.00
10-31 14:27Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?SELL0.4209704791$23.81
10-30 12:40Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?SELL0.86$1.08
10-30 12:39Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?BUY0.8599999211$1.09
10-30 12:38Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?SELL0.15$1.08
10-30 12:22Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?BUY0.179999892$1.30
10-30 12:22Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?SELL0.65$1.30
10-29 18:59Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?BUY0.0410000015$1.14