Morgrur
0xe6dfeed8c71fd328dedaacb4444f1fa5af16f822
- Realised P&L
- $-596.95
- Volume
- $165.9k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.21at 0.372US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$155.94at 0.133Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$125.10at 0.360Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$86.73at 0.034Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$41.06at 0.440US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 17:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2692492222 | $242.32 |
| 08-23 17:41 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.27 | $837.00 |
| 08-23 17:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.26 | $20.80 |
| 08-23 17:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.26 | $52.00 |
| 08-23 17:39 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4144742823 | $1.2k |
| 08-11 17:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.32 | $320.00 |
| 08-08 12:27 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.233 | $400.06 |
| 08-05 20:13 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.0480196736 | $227.83 |
| 08-01 05:40 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | SELL | 0.1334821083 | $276.04 |
| 07-29 03:59 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 08:43 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $247.20 |
| 07-26 07:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $160.00 |
| 07-25 17:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $97.02 |
| 07-25 15:33 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4557 | $45.57 |
| 07-23 20:32 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |