PolyBot

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Traders

Morgrur

0xe6dfeed8c71fd328dedaacb4444f1fa5af16f822

Realised P&L
$-596.95
Volume
$165.9k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2890.305$2.0k+$105.34
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2330.163$279.01$121.05
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1080.085$236.47$64.00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1900.135$213.30$86.90
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1500.065$108.55$141.95
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.001$12.50$87.50
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0050.001$6.50$58.50
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? · No0.1600.085$1.04$0.92
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5300.475$0.90$0.10
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.2750.000$0.00$109.83
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00$59.45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No0.1850.000$0.00$370.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 17:42Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2692492222$242.32
08-23 17:41Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.27$837.00
08-23 17:40Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.26$20.80
08-23 17:40Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.26$52.00
08-23 17:39Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.4144742823$1.2k
08-11 17:19Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.32$320.00
08-08 12:27Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.233$400.06
08-05 20:13Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.0480196736$227.83
08-01 05:40Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.1334821083$276.04
07-29 03:59Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$10.00
07-26 08:43Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.12$247.20
07-26 07:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.16$160.00
07-25 17:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.21$97.02
07-25 15:33Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4557$45.57
07-23 20:32Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.14$1.12