fbastos
0xe6dd9b82b1389d5b86a4837c8c09532a7fab5e33
- Realised P&L
- $-233.67
- Volume
- $55.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,776
- Open portfolio
- $6.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,776
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.810 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.95 |
| Will CA Tigre vs. CA Banfield end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.365 | $1.82 | +$0.33 |
| RAAL La Louviere vs. Club Brugge: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.460 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$920.39at 0.557Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$793.88at 0.206Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-26?
- +$246.99at 0.753Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$155.57at 0.851Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-02?
- +$86.04at 0.885Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:28 | Will CA Tigre vs. CA Banfield end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 10-10 22:28 | Will CA Banfield win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 10-10 22:21 | Will CA Banfield win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 21:30 | CA Central Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-10 21:30 | CA Central Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-10 20:26 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 10-10 20:26 | Will Chicago Fire FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-10 20:26 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-10 20:17 | Will Chicago Fire FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-10 20:17 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 10-10 20:17 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 20:17 | Will Chicago Fire FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-10 20:11 | 1. FC Nürnberg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 10-10 20:10 | Will FC Lorient win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 10-10 20:09 | Will AS Monaco FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |