PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE6DAFc635a0CC14a362550c8891F8820847D90E3-1733068389627

0xe6dafc635a0cc14a362550c8891f8820847d90e3

Realised P&L
$8.76
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$43.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat? · Yes0.9960.979$28.67−$0.53
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9960.978$14.72−$0.28
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · No0.9980.000$0.00−$27.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:00Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?BUY0.9964239824$29.20
10-24 19:54Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?BUY0.998$14.00
10-23 14:09Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?BUY0.9943697656$35.50
10-21 02:32Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.997$22.00
10-19 06:07Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.996$28.00
10-16 11:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 18?BUY0.9979999617$21.50
10-12 20:41Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13?BUY0.9969999999$20.60
10-12 01:40Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?BUY0.9987225229$18.00
10-08 15:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?BUY0.997$25.10
10-07 15:44Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.995$13.00
10-04 09:43Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 4?BUY0.9987412544$19.30
10-03 12:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?BUY0.997$20.00
09-29 22:40Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.996$29.00
09-27 14:04Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.998$28.80
09-25 13:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25?BUY0.9949999444$11.00