0xE6DAFc635a0CC14a362550c8891F8820847D90E3-1733068389627
0xe6dafc635a0cc14a362550c8891f8820847d90e3
- Realised P&L
- $8.76
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $43.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.996 | 0.979 | $28.67 | −$0.53 |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.996 | 0.978 | $14.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.75at 0.610Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$0.57at 0.995Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?
- +$0.47at 0.996Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$0.47at 0.996Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
- +$0.34at 0.997Will OG Anunoby Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.9964239824 | $29.20 |
| 10-24 19:54 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.00 |
| 10-23 14:09 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | BUY | 0.9943697656 | $35.50 |
| 10-21 02:32 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.00 |
| 10-19 06:07 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $28.00 |
| 10-16 11:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.9979999617 | $21.50 |
| 10-12 20:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $20.60 |
| 10-12 01:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9987225229 | $18.00 |
| 10-08 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.10 |
| 10-07 15:44 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $13.00 |
| 10-04 09:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 4? | BUY | 0.9987412544 | $19.30 |
| 10-03 12:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 22:40 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $29.00 |
| 09-27 14:04 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.80 |
| 09-25 13:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.9949999444 | $11.00 |