Aslan
0xe6d843435c9627d8243ec0582f0dc86f2a2f3484
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $150.7k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.372Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.053Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
- +$591.30at 0.430Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
- +$300.00at 0.500Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
- +$290.09at 0.053Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 13:49 | Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.95 | $339.04 |
| 03-25 14:10 | Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.016 | $5.79 |
| 03-25 14:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999999 | $1.1k |
| 03-24 20:43 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | BUY | 0.3085106245 | $189.91 |
| 03-24 15:09 | Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | BUY | 0.6722283361 | $1.2k |
| 03-24 14:36 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | BUY | 0.3565074356 | $172.85 |
| 03-13 19:17 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.0k |
| 03-12 17:53 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | BUY | 0.42866052 | $1.1k |
| 03-12 17:49 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2699001616 | $809.70 |
| 03-03 20:42 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL | 0.5217377704 | $300.23 |
| 02-27 22:02 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999997 | $476.57 |
| 02-27 22:01 | Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.8907895327 | $476.57 |
| 02-27 15:11 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.9242197761 | $1.7k |
| 02-26 18:52 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.8 | $558.62 |
| 02-26 14:15 | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BUY | 0.18665363 | $57.13 |