PolyBot

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Traders

Spadez

0xe6d800b1931a9194c7e52f1b9c39d6325e7ae6af

Realised P&L
$-886.57
Volume
$56.6k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$102.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.1530.082$102.71$90.83
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31? · No0.4000.000$0.00$100.00
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.2470.000$0.00$671.89
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Halal" during his victory/concession speech? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$6.95
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6? · No0.4100.000$0.00$115.11
Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his victory/concession speech? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.71
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25? · Down0.5300.000$0.00$53.00
Ethereum Up or Down on October 27? · Down0.1200.000$0.00$100.00
Solana Up or Down on November 18? · Down0.2660.000$0.00$225.56
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7? · No0.5970.000$0.00$101.50
Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$123.21
Nothing Ever Happens: November · No0.1500.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-14 14:13Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?SELL0.191$2.93
05-14 14:09Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.186$0.93
05-14 14:06Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.185$1.41
05-14 14:06Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.1783992351$5.00
05-14 14:03Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.147$1.03
03-24 18:42Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.0549943284$36.85
03-24 18:42Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.0465126484$52.26
03-24 18:42Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.1308573499$63.20
01-14 16:25Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.48$12.00
01-14 16:25Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.48$12.00
01-14 16:24Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.48$12.00
01-13 09:48Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.2$200.00
01-13 09:48Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.19$23.46
01-12 08:29Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.3$16.18
01-12 08:29Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.49$199.92