PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MegaSingularity

0xe6d023315e2f6d9c415fef35fb47ad01e9c02e08

Realised P&L
$265.14
Volume
$27.5k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration79.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8520.960$1.2k+$132.30
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.2070.115$131.26$105.60
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2400.040$15.80$80.20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$57.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-27 16:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8499999992$1000.00
01-30 01:57Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.017$170.00
01-30 01:57Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY0.21$210.00
01-29 14:10Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY0.19$2.07
01-29 13:55Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?SELL0.006$6.00
01-29 08:59Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?SELL0.2032406$203.24
01-28 11:24Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.018$34.13
01-28 11:18Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?BUY0.37$29.90
01-28 11:02Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.019$3.34
01-28 11:02Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?BUY0.13$130.00
01-20 17:37Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.24$31.92
01-19 14:41US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?BUY0.88$48.63
01-07 04:58Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.7899999983$57.28
01-07 04:39Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.86$43.00
12-10 09:05Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.844$11.94