PolyKetCat
0xe6c425a95ad35f95f940a9e4bb7c0482335ad28e
- Realised P&L
- $279.78
- Volume
- $65.8k
- Markets traded
- 619
- Open portfolio
- $300.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded619
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.00at 0.010Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$18.69at 0.050DOW hits 50k by January 23, 2026?
- +$13.60at 0.010Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$12.81at 0.087Will Trump attend UFC 324?
- +$12.40at 0.010Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 18:19 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 04-23 23:16 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 03-23 08:58 | Will Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 12:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 10:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.67 |
| 03-16 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.579999826 | $0.97 |
| 03-15 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $0.97 |
| 03-15 13:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $0.99 |
| 03-15 11:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7AM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $1.54 |
| 03-15 11:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $0.97 |
| 03-15 11:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $1.93 |
| 03-15 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |
| 03-15 08:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.87 |
| 03-15 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $0.97 |
| 03-14 21:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $0.97 |