0xe6bccaa25eed31b6322edf4da367d08a84cdbea7
- Realised P&L
- $7.97
- Volume
- $191.49
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $82.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.93at 0.714Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 15?
- +$1.53at 0.734Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 15?
- +$1.05at 0.814Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 09-15 21:44 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-15 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.51 |
| 09-15 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.98 |
| 09-15 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |