ndyr
0xe6b03361a6a95ee47433b272f36add9e7f37ce9e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $114.9k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $71.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$900.26at 0.400Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
- +$51.23at 0.122Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$22.40at 0.350Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
- +$3.11at 0.440Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?
- +$3.00at 0.670Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-05 06:16 | Will the Republican Party win the OK-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.78 |
| 02-05 06:16 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 7? | SELL | 0.024 | $1.56 |
| 02-05 05:54 | Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.09 |
| 02-04 16:58 | Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 02-04 16:56 | Will Microsoft reach $533 in February? | SELL | 0.055 | $1.11 |
| 02-04 12:44 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on February 5? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 02-04 12:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.01 |
| 02-04 12:38 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of February? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 02-04 12:38 | Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? | BUY | 0.0599999663 | $1.64 |
| 02-04 12:38 | Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.14 |
| 02-04 11:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4? | BUY | 0.0198574237 | $1.00 |
| 02-04 11:56 | Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | SELL | 0.085 | $1.00 |
| 02-04 08:44 | Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999505 | $1.09 |
| 02-04 08:44 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.09 |
| 02-04 08:33 | Will Coinbase say "Subscription" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1699999625 | $3.04 |