olakkk
0xe6a8df73d8a875b5fe6babf6a6a173c60330426b
- Realised P&L
- $-340.48
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $49.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.059 | $27.66 | −$47.47 |
| Solana all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.035 | $12.07 | −$21.92 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.064 | $8.68 | +$1.18 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.059 | $1.21 | −$2.79 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.45at 0.120Ethereum all time high before 2026?
- +$32.10at 0.157Solana all time high in Q4?
- +$4.64at 0.110Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
- +$4.00at 0.200Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
- +$2.58at 0.660Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by Sunday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 06:35 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 07-11 15:32 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.00 |
| 07-08 07:44 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 07:44 | Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.010964 | $1.10 |
| 07-07 21:32 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.58 |
| 07-07 08:11 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 03:19 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.50 |
| 07-05 02:46 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 09:25 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7474999813 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 16:52 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.058 | $0.57 |
| 06-30 15:24 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 06:14 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1019999143 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 23:25 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 06-29 22:07 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.63 |
| 06-29 11:44 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |