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0xe6a21b718be13f5c81b2cea6f5da8002ead36555
- Realised P&L
- $200.96
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $17.52
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD1 depeg by December 31? · No | 0.920 | 0.940 | $8.46 | +$0.18 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.975 | $8.28 | +$0.29 |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.385 | $0.78 | −$1.02 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.30 |
| Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? · No | 0.952 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.18 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $60k | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.50 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30? · Yes | 0.714 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.70 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 14? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.40 |
| Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.90at 0.430Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
- +$68.00at 0.773Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 14?
- +$58.39at 0.416Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
- +$6.01at 0.750Will Trump visit China by June 30?
- +$5.99at 0.500Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 12:31 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | SELL | 0.952 | $28.56 |
| 03-30 02:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 03-27 08:53 | Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.52 |
| 03-27 08:51 | Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.954 | $8.11 |
| 03-27 08:51 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $7.48 |
| 03-27 08:48 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $5.77 |
| 03-27 08:40 | USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.942 | $8.48 |
| 03-27 08:38 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.827 | $8.27 |
| 03-27 08:26 | Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $8.55 |
| 03-27 08:24 | Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.59 |
| 03-08 03:13 | Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 9.50% and 10.00%? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-02 02:20 | 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31? | BUY | 0.903 | $8.13 |
| 03-01 08:35 | Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 03-01 08:05 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 03-01 07:51 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |