PolyBot

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Traders

sdlfkjsdl

0xe69fbf88806454d50611d177a4f70cc4222dce5a

Realised P&L
$101.98
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$95.34

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? · No0.8000.986$13.80+$2.60
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · No0.6900.965$13.50+$3.84
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · No0.8700.956$13.38+$1.20
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · No0.6000.951$13.30+$4.91
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.4700.840$12.60+$5.55
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6101.000$9.99+$3.90
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8770.474$7.11−$6.04
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8900.979$4.89+$0.44
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · No0.2400.625$4.38+$2.69
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? · Yes0.0500.043$0.87−$0.13
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · No0.5000.850$0.85+$0.35
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2200.019$0.27−$2.81
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1500.032$0.22−$0.83
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2500.033$0.17−$1.08
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2570.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 16:44France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.65$6.50
07-11 16:35Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.162499868$1.00
07-11 16:35Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2524998138$1.00
07-11 16:34Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2574998185$1.00
07-11 16:33Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3549998225$1.00
07-10 15:35Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6099999248$2.84
07-09 11:49Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199998016$3.00
07-03 15:01Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.84$8.40
07-03 14:07Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.5899999765$7.27
07-01 07:48Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7699999972$5.60
07-01 07:39Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.327$5.30
06-30 09:47Will France win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.77$7.70
06-29 04:52Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.58$5.80
06-29 04:47Spread: Brazil (-2.5)BUY0.1299999814$5.88
06-18 03:38Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1849999522$3.00