TWCheng
0xe6953214b110bdaebb473952e69a8c50d47f538e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $176.3k
- Markets traded
- 7,632
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,632
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$238.19at 0.257Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 15?
- +$160.15at 0.541Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 2?
- +$147.38at 0.369Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 13?
- +$146.86at 0.284Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?
- +$140.13at 0.561Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.48 |
| 09-17 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.73 | $6.30 |
| 09-17 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.24 |
| 09-17 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.62 | $13.64 |
| 09-17 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.41 |
| 09-17 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 09-17 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.616988 | $30.85 |
| 09-17 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.34 |
| 09-17 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.34 |
| 09-17 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.67 | $26.80 |
| 09-17 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7 | $5.67 |
| 09-17 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7 | $21.15 |
| 09-17 00:28 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7 | $12.81 |