The🐐
0xe693b51ad241952cc470bb136b43d467f6ac8250
- Realised P&L
- $-518.37
- Volume
- $40.3k
- Markets traded
- 188
- Open portfolio
- $85.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded188
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.91at 0.170Will Trump say "French fries" during North Carolina rally October 22?
- +$79.31at 0.219Will Trump say "fascist" during Georgia rally on October 28?
- +$60.71at 0.140Will Trump say "Mars" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?
- +$45.08at 0.782Will Trump say "too big to rig" 2 or more times during New York rally on October 27?
- +$44.80at 0.360Will Trump say "Teamster" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.0010666155 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on October 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.0010269935 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.007975159 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.00614516 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.0035007941 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.0039765261 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on October 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 09:14 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2265937295 | $400.00 |
| 10-17 09:08 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1651399548 | $133.53 |
| 11-07 18:53 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999996 | $111.76 |
| 11-07 18:48 | Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | BUY | 0.153324955 | $100.00 |