randomizer1998
0xe69356b5de5084669dde82507f34c6f8782fdd17
- Realised P&L
- $10.4k
- Volume
- $649.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,295
- Open portfolio
- $20.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,295
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 9? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.020 | $20.62 | +$0.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 8? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.301Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?
- +$1.7kat 0.648Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?
- +$1.7kat 0.561Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?
- +$1.2kat 0.755Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 19?
- +$1.1kat 0.103Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.6775644444 | $274.41 |
| 07-30 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $15.90 |
| 07-30 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.767621 | $153.52 |
| 07-23 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 23? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.32 |
| 07-23 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 23? | BUY | 0.84 | $82.41 |
| 07-23 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 23? | BUY | 0.839 | $251.70 |
| 07-23 10:33 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 23? | BUY | 0.79 | $197.50 |
| 07-23 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 23? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.88 |
| 07-23 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 23? | BUY | 0.83 | $25.90 |
| 07-23 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 23? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 07-22 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22? | BUY | 0.83 | $46.46 |
| 07-21 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21? | BUY | 0.43 | $45.15 |
| 07-21 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 21? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.23 |
| 07-21 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on July 21? | BUY | 0.87 | $243.60 |
| 07-20 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 20? | BUY | 0.6165195122 | $252.77 |