0xe692d7fe7b68f29c8048b50388be975d72327a70
0xe692d7fe7b68f29c8048b50388be975d72327a70
- Realised P&L
- $19.06
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 426
- Open portfolio
- $11.72
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded426
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07? · Yes | 0.729 | 0.755 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Broncos | 0.490 | 1.000 | $2.04 | +$1.04 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.141 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders · Commanders | 0.680 | 0.695 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.775 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Bears vs. Seahawks · Seahawks | 0.620 | 0.615 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.335 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.250 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.305 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.225 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.132 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.19at 0.423Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
- +$3.97at 0.206UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$3.52at 0.226Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?
- +$3.12at 0.250Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$2.66at 0.607Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:50 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | SELL | 0.94 | $1.30 |
| 11-01 19:49 | Ravens vs. Bills | SELL | 0.91 | $1.44 |
| 11-01 19:49 | Falcons vs. Buccaneers | SELL | 0.87 | $1.55 |
| 11-01 19:45 | Browns vs. Steelers | SELL | 0.94 | $1.47 |
| 11-01 17:08 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:08 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:56 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:54 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 03:35 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 10-29 03:33 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 03:33 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:21 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.9089999264 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 00:13 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 12:23 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 12:22 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.33 |