FBIFlowerVan
0xe68af11a91ba1b9c9b4dbb634e3f8e043c81b4f2
- Realised P&L
- $-95.43
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $35.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.43at 0.140Kristi Noem out by March 31?
- +$17.78at 0.180Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$16.97at 0.160Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$4.10at 0.069Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
- +$3.85at 0.740Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-27 10:52 | Will a hurricane form by May 31? | SELL | 0.0784365482 | $5.72 |
| 03-18 22:57 | Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31? | SELL | 0.164 | $7.10 |
| 02-28 21:08 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.936 | $20.47 |
| 02-17 20:06 | Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas? | BUY | 0.7899999573 | $10.00 |
| 02-17 20:06 | Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%? | BUY | 0.2441860465 | $10.50 |
| 02-17 19:59 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.7399999987 | $10.97 |
| 02-17 15:43 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.01 |
| 02-16 20:56 | Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | BUY | 0.037 | $5.00 |
| 02-16 20:55 | Jerome Powell arrested by March 31? | BUY | 0.015228581 | $5.00 |
| 02-15 23:58 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 23:55 | ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $9.00 |
| 02-15 23:51 | Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31? | BUY | 0.1059999082 | $1.00 |
| 02-14 20:47 | Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.1137651884 | $27.00 |
| 02-14 20:38 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0169999918 | $2.00 |
| 02-14 20:37 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1099999678 | $2.90 |