PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

FBIFlowerVan

0xe68af11a91ba1b9c9b4dbb634e3f8e043c81b4f2

Realised P&L
$-95.43
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$35.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.065$12.98$6.99
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0620.043$8.40$3.60
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1100.141$3.73+$0.83
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.029$2.48+$0.48
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1100.068$1.84$1.16
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.021$1.46+$0.46
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1700.079$1.39$1.61
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0550.021$1.17$1.83
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.085$1.16$0.34
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.007$0.88$1.12
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.004$0.41$0.59
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$5.00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$4.97
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$27.00
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-27 10:52Will a hurricane form by May 31?SELL0.0784365482$5.72
03-18 22:57Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?SELL0.164$7.10
02-28 21:08Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.936$20.47
02-17 20:06Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?BUY0.7899999573$10.00
02-17 20:06Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?BUY0.2441860465$10.50
02-17 19:59Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY0.7399999987$10.97
02-17 15:43Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.1$15.01
02-16 20:56Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?BUY0.037$5.00
02-16 20:55Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?BUY0.015228581$5.00
02-15 23:58Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
02-15 23:55ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?BUY0.6$9.00
02-15 23:51Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?BUY0.1059999082$1.00
02-14 20:47Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY0.1137651884$27.00
02-14 20:38Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0169999918$2.00
02-14 20:37Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1099999678$2.90
Trader FBIFlowerVan · PolyBot