PolyBot

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Traders

Thatboi

0xe685918233714b9971eebe039ed7edade1ceeb9d

Realised P&L
$-25.8k
Volume
$790.9k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$6.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5710.410$4.5k$1.8k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0560.097$2.1k+$878.62
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 · Yes0.1570.000$0.00$579.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 14:21Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$1.3k
05-29 16:34Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$565.55
05-29 16:32Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6298011988$633.60
05-29 16:31Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.629961404$2.1k
05-29 16:28Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.331$3.4k
03-01 13:20Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.41$38.75
03-01 13:19Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.41$410.00
02-09 15:34Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0555706556$502.34
10-27 13:06Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.953$24.8k
10-23 12:36Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.16$400.00
06-20 16:54US military action against Iran by Friday?SELL0.9518215724$22.2k
06-20 01:41US military action against Iran by Friday?BUY0.951$675.63
06-20 01:31US military action against Iran by Friday?BUY0.9584847058$3.0k
06-20 00:14US military action against Iran by Friday?BUY0.946$472.00
06-19 23:08US military action against Iran by Friday?BUY0.9558960514$5.0k