0xe67c4034AAF71AD992e2004f7ecE7fdDAb948143-1772080134135
0xe67c4034aaf71ad992e2004f7ece7fddab948143
- Realised P&L
- $6.61
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $13.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.36at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
- +$3.32at 0.722Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
- +$3.27at 0.962Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
- +$2.75at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$2.74at 0.726Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $1.25 |
| 09-18 09:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.06 |
| 09-18 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $1.04 |