Br19
0xe673ed4d1035390ceeb4b3fad1f92cdb4ca03076
- Realised P&L
- $-680.43
- Volume
- $226.0k
- Markets traded
- 290
- Open portfolio
- $465.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded290
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.991 | $465.21 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.00at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?
- +$18.13at 0.960Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 20?
- +$17.43at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?
- +$16.74at 0.960Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 28?
- +$15.62at 0.977Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 16:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.992 | $465.67 |
| 10-21 15:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 10-20 17:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.984 | $217.01 |
| 10-20 17:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.984 | $241.08 |
| 10-20 12:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.994 | $457.23 |
| 10-19 17:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $454.19 |
| 10-19 15:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $454.12 |
| 10-19 03:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.982 | $55.14 |
| 10-19 03:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.986 | $55.24 |
| 10-19 03:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.983 | $186.34 |
| 10-19 02:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.988 | $186.73 |
| 10-19 02:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.983 | $98.59 |
| 10-19 02:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.988 | $98.80 |
| 10-19 02:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.983 | $98.59 |
| 10-19 02:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.988 | $98.80 |