PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

victoriacasey

0xe673b67656fe5fcb668dbe0f3d697a57b8a508b2

Realised P&L
$31.31
Volume
$21.1k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$42.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race? · No0.7500.715$17.28−$0.85
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.665$13.49+$0.51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5? · Yes0.6600.795$11.60+$1.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:36Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.999$12.84
01-30 16:32Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January?BUY0.998$4.30
01-30 15:24Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?BUY0.998$29.65
01-30 12:45Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.999$41.33
12-30 09:00Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.999$11.39
12-29 23:59Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?BUY0.999$3.26
12-29 23:54Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?BUY0.9989999186$12.01
12-29 23:38Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?BUY0.999$21.50
12-29 21:44Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?BUY0.998$43.52
10-31 15:33Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$24.74
10-31 14:47Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?BUY0.998$27.44
09-29 15:45Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?BUY0.999$11.79
09-29 15:19Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$14.67
09-29 03:27Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$19.59
09-28 21:14Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.998$11.35