victoriacasey
0xe673b67656fe5fcb668dbe0f3d697a57b8a508b2
- Realised P&L
- $31.31
- Volume
- $21.1k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $42.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race? · No | 0.750 | 0.715 | $17.28 | −$0.85 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.665 | $13.49 | +$0.51 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.795 | $11.60 | +$1.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.41at 0.440Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$9.72at 0.560Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?
- +$2.57at 0.999Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by March 31?
- +$2.36at 0.560Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
- +$0.43at 0.530Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:36 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.84 |
| 01-30 16:32 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.30 |
| 01-30 15:24 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.65 |
| 01-30 12:45 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.33 |
| 12-30 09:00 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.39 |
| 12-29 23:59 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.26 |
| 12-29 23:54 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9989999186 | $12.01 |
| 12-29 23:38 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.50 |
| 12-29 21:44 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $43.52 |
| 10-31 15:33 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.74 |
| 10-31 14:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.44 |
| 09-29 15:45 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.79 |
| 09-29 15:19 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.67 |
| 09-29 03:27 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.59 |
| 09-28 21:14 | Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.35 |