Aliesha
0xe66fd296d3f39b3fc3f1fd90f6edc61d7aa8f658
- Realised P&L
- $-126.41
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $1.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.63at 0.034Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$3.56at 0.360Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?
- +$2.98at 0.330Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$2.13at 0.004Will the government shutdown end November 14?
- +$1.94at 0.340Will XRP dip to $2.00 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 22:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $0.86 |
| 04-17 22:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 07:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | SELL | 0.604 | $1.21 |
| 03-28 07:48 | Will Solana dip to $80 in March? | SELL | 0.582 | $2.19 |
| 03-13 01:43 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2199999246 | $1.81 |
| 03-13 01:35 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 01:26 | Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 01:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 01:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 01:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 01:20 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 01:19 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in March? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 01:18 | Will Solana dip to $80 in March? | BUY | 0.5309997993 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 01:18 | Will Solana dip to $80 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 01:05 | Will Solana dip to $80 in March? | BUY | 0.5319998212 | $1.00 |