0xe66cbbc8dd8c0c085aad1ea87497c9b272edeee2
0xe66cbbc8dd8c0c085aad1ea87497c9b272edeee2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $179.0k
- Markets traded
- 495
- Open portfolio
- $0.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded495
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Botswana win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$14.87 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$221.94at 0.358Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$212.56at 0.692Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$204.45at 0.469Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$188.49at 0.763Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova
- +$174.94at 0.277Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.22 | $18.81 |
| 09-28 20:56 | Will Botswana win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.057379662 | $15.00 |
| 09-28 20:54 | Will Botswana win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.0278536 | $27.85 |
| 09-28 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | SELL | 0.57 | $9.69 |
| 09-28 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $5.78 |
| 09-28 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $6.46 |
| 09-28 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $7.14 |
| 09-28 20:30 | Will Botswana win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 20:29 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.27 | $62.07 |
| 09-28 18:51 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 18:51 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4299999989 | $36.83 |
| 09-28 18:49 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.42 | $50.82 |
| 09-28 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999958 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 18:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $9.72 |
| 09-28 18:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999897 | $7.00 |