cognomen
0xe66b0ebf01234997a100ec1f84d8c80aeba67f43
- Realised P&L
- $-843.59
- Volume
- $53.6k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $910.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.017 | $528.05 | −$426.57 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.019 | $381.97 | −$478.21 |
| Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.19at 0.270Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 18:29 | Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.039994418 | $20.00 |
| 06-08 15:17 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.044 | $843.22 |
| 05-30 17:11 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 17:02 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 17:02 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $104.00 |
| 05-27 12:08 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0287121312 | $100.00 |