stagingterritory
0xe64e729fcc520b08a90432c5cef3d513926f2143
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $491.1k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $314.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.283 | 0.125 | $132.33 | −$167.67 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.635 | $63.82 | −$9.55 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.265 | $53.67 | −$35.44 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.225 | $46.15 | −$33.85 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.070 | $12.03 | −$29.23 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.158 | $6.24 | −$23.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.573Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?
- +$1.9kat 0.403Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
- +$1.6kat 0.329Ethereum above $4400 on August 15?
- +$980.42at 0.333Solana above $200 on August 18?
- +$870.63at 0.591Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 23:09 | Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 03-02 13:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 2? | BUY | 0.8099999998 | $800.00 |
| 03-02 13:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 2? | SELL | 0.1403356682 | $221.58 |
| 03-02 12:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 2? | BUY | 0.1899999995 | $300.00 |
| 03-02 12:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 2? | BUY | 0.8019008016 | $200.00 |
| 03-02 12:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.7544797234 | $600.00 |
| 03-01 00:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2? | BUY | 0.9428834362 | $404.45 |
| 03-01 00:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 1? | BUY | 0.7574993752 | $30.31 |
| 03-01 00:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 3? | SELL | 0.37 | $382.76 |
| 02-28 18:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 1? | SELL | 0.4417760018 | $477.60 |
| 02-28 05:34 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.8011907751 | $2.1k |
| 02-28 05:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 1? | BUY | 0.3699999994 | $400.00 |
| 02-28 00:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.2899999995 | $300.00 |
| 02-28 00:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 2? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.5k |
| 02-28 00:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 1? | SELL | 0.9792824439 | $1.4k |