0xe64c4AE3902FD83983b15A4d47483A0e2F37D177-1768603361919
0xe64c4ae3902fd83983b15a4d47483a0e2f37d177
- Realised P&L
- $-209.53
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $45.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.18at 0.434Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$51.80at 0.213US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$36.45at 0.125Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
- +$25.24at 0.729US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$25.22at 0.304Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 11:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out? | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 11:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 11:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 09:06 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.62 |
| 07-19 21:43 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.79 |
| 07-19 20:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.1149999819 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 08:27 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2674999845 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:55 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.095 | $2.02 |
| 07-15 20:50 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.145 | $9.67 |
| 07-15 20:38 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.0749999869 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 20:38 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2824999669 | $6.00 |
| 07-11 23:11 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.78 |
| 07-11 22:46 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2199999736 | $6.00 |
| 07-11 22:45 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.12 |
| 07-11 22:45 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.00 |