PolyBot

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Traders

0xe64c4AE3902FD83983b15A4d47483A0e2F37D177-1768603361919

0xe64c4ae3902fd83983b15a4d47483a0e2f37d177

Realised P&L
$-209.53
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$45.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out? · Yes0.4800.690$28.75+$8.75
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No0.3500.285$16.29−$3.71
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1500.007$0.25−$4.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3290.000$0.00−$5.00
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3690.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? · Yes0.3880.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 11:41Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?BUY0.4799999962$20.00
10-26 11:16US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.3499999948$20.00
10-26 11:16US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.149999997$5.00
10-26 09:06Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.12$4.62
07-19 21:43Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.05$2.79
07-19 20:55Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.1149999819$5.00
07-19 08:27Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2674999845$10.00
07-15 20:55Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.095$2.02
07-15 20:50Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.145$9.67
07-15 20:38Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.0749999869$5.00
07-15 20:38Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.2824999669$6.00
07-11 23:11Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$0.78
07-11 22:46Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2199999736$6.00
07-11 22:45Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?SELL0.003$0.12
07-11 22:45Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?SELL0.032$1.00