PolyBot

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Traders

nuevaostra

0xe6433faef8b906a0e1c8b33f0ebdc64119a13c60

Realised P&L
$-0.25
Volume
$141.75
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$32.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8300.993$3.59+$0.59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · Yes0.9180.971$3.17+$0.17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · Yes0.8700.915$3.16+$0.16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · Yes0.7200.735$3.06+$0.06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? · No0.9500.967$3.05+$0.05
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · No0.9480.958$3.03+$0.03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? · Yes0.9950.998$3.01+$0.01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9850.941$2.86−$0.14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026? · No0.9860.905$2.51−$0.22
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.5600.598$2.04+$0.13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · Yes0.9820.981$2.00−$0.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30? · Yes0.9900.999$1.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 08:56Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026?BUY0.9859999986$2.73
11-01 08:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.981999999$2.00
11-01 08:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?BUY0.9949997944$3.00
11-01 08:54US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.9479999886$3.00
11-01 08:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.8699999652$3.00
10-31 08:47US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.9179999896$3.00
10-29 14:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?BUY0.99$1.00
10-29 14:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?BUY0.998$3.00
10-29 14:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?BUY0.997999676$3.00
10-29 14:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.95$3.00
10-27 13:45France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9849999987$3.78
10-27 13:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.9369999919$3.00
10-27 13:45US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.7199999424$3.00
10-19 06:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8699999652$3.00
10-19 06:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?BUY0.9819999974$3.00