nuevaostra
0xe6433faef8b906a0e1c8b33f0ebdc64119a13c60
- Realised P&L
- $-0.25
- Volume
- $141.75
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $32.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.71at 0.642Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$1.53at 0.572Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?
- +$1.19at 0.632Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$1.07at 0.740Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
- +$0.68at 0.818Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:56 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999986 | $2.73 |
| 11-01 08:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.981999999 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 08:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | BUY | 0.9949997944 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 08:54 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.9479999886 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 08:54 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 08:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9179999896 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 14:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 14:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | BUY | 0.997999676 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 14:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 13:45 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999987 | $3.78 |
| 10-27 13:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9369999919 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 13:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 06:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 06:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | BUY | 0.9819999974 | $3.00 |